Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strong expectation of support from Government of India (GoI)
The ratings continue to factor in an expectation of strong government support, both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress. This is because GoI is both the majority shareholder in PSBs and the guardian of India’s financial system. The stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to GoI, given the criticality of the sector to the economy, the strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs and the severe implications of any PSB failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability and investor confidence in public sector institutions. CRISIL Ratings believes that the majority ownership creates a moral obligation on GoI to support PSBs including BoB. As a part of ‘Indradhanush’ framework, government had pledged to infuse at least Rs 70,000 crore in PSBs during fiscal 2015 to 2019. Further in October 2017, the government had outlined a recapitalisation package of Rs 2.11 lakh crores over fiscals 2018 and fiscal 2019. The government allocated Rs 70,000 crore for capital infusion in fiscal 2020. BoB was allocated Rs 5375 crore in fiscal 2018 and Rs 7,000 crore in fiscal 2020. In fiscal 2021, BoB has raised capital of Rs 4500 crore via QIP. CRISIL Ratings believes that GoI will continue to provide distress support to all PSBs including BoB and will not allow any of them to fail. It will also support them in meeting Basel III capital regulations.
Established franchise and strong market position in the Indian banking sector
Currently BoB is among India’s top five banks by asset size with total assets of Rs 12,85,486 crore as on June 30, 2022 (Rs 12,78,000 crore as on March 31, 2022) with a share of >6% as on June 30, 2022. On the deposits front too, the bank has Rs 10,32,714 crores of deposits as of June 30, 2022, reflecting a share of >6% as on the same date. It is one of the most geographically diversified public sector banks (PSBs) with international presence spanning across 94 offices in 17 countries and bank’s international operations contributing to 13.6% of the global business as on March 31, 2022 (12.8% as on end March 31, 2021).
The bank reported growth of 9% in the gross advances in fiscal 2022. The gross advances of the bank thereafter grew by 2.6% sequentially and 18% Y-o-Y to Rs 839,785 crore as on June 30, 2022. This growth was largely driven by retail book which grew by 23% Y-o-Y as well as international advances which grew by 31% Y-o-Y. Within retail book, major contributors to growth were car loans, personal loans and gold loans. The share of international book grew to 17% as on June 30, 2022 (16% as on March 31, 2022) from 15% as on March 31, 2021.
Adequate capitalisation
BoB remains adequately capitalized with Tier I and overall CAR (under Basel III) at 12.97% and 15.46% respectively as on June 30, 2022 (13.18% and 15.68% respectively as on March 31, 2022). The bank’s networth coverage for net NPA improved to 7.0 times as on June 30, 2022 (6.4x as on March 31, 2022) from 3.5 times as on March 31, 2021. BoB had raised capital via QIP of Rs 4500 crore during fiscal 2021. Capitalisation has been supported by regular infusion from GoI. CRISIL Ratings believes that BoB will be able to maintain adequate capitalisation over the medium term, backed by capital support from GoI.
Stable resource profile
BoB has a large, stable and diversified resource profile. The bank has a large deposit base that grew by 11% Y-o-Y to Rs 10,32,714 crore as on June 30, 2022 (Rs 10,45,939 crore as on March 31, 2022). Owing to strong international presence, BoB generates about 12% of its deposits from overseas that adequately support and provide geographical diversity to the bank’s resource profile. Overall, the bank’s current and savings account (CASA) deposits grew by 11% Y-o-Y translating into CASA ratio of 41.1% as on June 30, 2022 (41.5% as on March 31, 2022). With high share of CASA deposits, the bank has been able to keep its costs of deposits under control. The average cost of deposits for the quarter ending June 30, 2022 was 3.5% (3.5% for fiscal 2022, down from 4.0% for fiscal 2021. Share of retail deposits (Savings account + retail term deposits) stood healthy at 72.2% as on June 30, 2022 (71.4% as on March 31, 2022).
CRISIL Ratings believes that BoB will maintain an adequate resource profile over the medium term given its well spread branch network, diversified investor base and access to international deposits.
Weakness:
Modest asset quality
BOB has reported considerable improvement in the asset quality in fiscal 2022, with Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) improving to 6.3% as on June 30, 2022 (6.6% as on March 31, 2022) from 8.9% as on March 31, 2021. The improvement stemmed primarily from the corporate book as evidenced by a reduction of ~Rs 12,700 crore in the absolute corporate GNPAs. GNPA ratios of MSMEs and Agriculture however continue to be elevated. Overall slippage ratio improved to 1.7% in Q1 FY23 (annualized) (1.6% in fiscal 2022) from 2.7% in fiscal 2021. As the PCR increased to 75% as on March 31, 2022 from 67% a year ago, the Net NPA ratio improved to 1.7% as on March 31, 2022 from 3% a year ago. It further improved to 1.6% as on June 30, 2022.
Collections for the bank were impacted during the pandemic period. However, with opening of economy, collection efficiency (excluding agriculture) has consistently improved to 98% in Q1 FY23 from 93% in Q1 FY22. As a result, the SMA 1 and SMA 2 accounts as a proportion to standard advances (with exposure above Rs 5 crore as per CRILC data) improved to 0.48% as on June 30, 2022 (from 2.68% as on June 30, 2021).
Total restructured standard book (all inclusive) as on June 30, 2022 stood at ~Rs 19,667 crore (2.34% of gross advances), out of which MSME accounted for 25% and large corporates accounted for 48%. Almost 95% of the restructured book under COVID-19 scheme is expected to be out of moratorium by March 2023. The bank’s exposure to NCLT accounts stood at Rs 50,003 crore as on June 30, 2022 with an average provision coverage of 97.5%.
The performance of the restructured book as well as the bank’s ability to bring down GNPAs especially for MSME and Agriculture segment will remain key monitorable.
Modest profitability for the rating category
Profitability was impacted in the past (with net losses reported in fiscal 2016 and fiscal 2018) owing to elevated GNPA metrics leading to higher credit costs. However, with improvement in the asset quality, BoB’s earnings profile has improved with the bank reporting PAT of Rs 7,272 crore in fiscal 2022 (as compared to adjusted PAT of Rs 4143 crore in fiscal 2021) and ROTA of 0.60% in fiscal 2022 (as compared to 0.36% adjusted ROTA in fiscal 2021). The adjustment is on account of one-time impact of Deferred Tax Assets (DTA) reversal in fiscal 2021.
While the yield on advances contracted by 20 bps, cost of deposits reduced by 50 bps leading to higher Net Interest Margin (NIM) which increased by ~20bps in fiscal 2022. However, it was offset by lower non-interest income owing to MTM losses in investment, resulting in steady operating profits ratio.
During Q1 FY23, while the NIMs slightly improved, MTM losses of Rs 1,168 crore resulted in lower operating profit ratio. This was however offset by lower credit costs, resulting in PAT of Rs 2,168 crore and improved ROTA of 0.7%.
Going forward, CRISIL Rating expects steady improvement in the earning profile, with limited incremental credit costs considering high provision coverage ratio of 76% as on June 30, 2022.